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How Businesses Can Thrive Amid Inflation, Tariffs, and AI Disruption

12/12/2025

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US Chamber of Commerce

Persistent inflation, shifting trade policies, and disruptive technologies like AI are reshaping the business landscape. On Dec. 10, Neil Bradley, U.S. Chamber Executive Vice President, and RSM US Chief Economist Joe Brusuelas discussed how businesses can adapt to these challenges.
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Why it matters: To remain competitive and drive growth, companies must embrace innovation, enhance efficiency, and prepare for evolving economic conditions.
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Key takeaways: Bradley and Brusuelas outlined trends shaping the economic landscape.
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  • Inflation’s impact: Inflation at 3% still exceeds the Federal Reserve’s 2% target. “The difference between two and three is 50%...creating uncertainty and concern,” Bradley said.
  • Tariff turbulence: We have not seen the full effects of higher tariffs. “It will be mid-2027, before consumers really feel it,” Brusuelas said. Bradley added that while some tariffs may be struck down by the Supreme Court, ongoing trade uncertainty remains a challenge.
  • AI as a tool for resilience: Bradley highlighted the rapid adoption of generative AI, with 58% of small businesses already using it. He emphasized that leveraging technology now will help businesses adapt to economic challenges.

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Inflation, Workforce Pressures Weigh on Small Businesses

12/12/2025

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US Chamber of Commerce
The MetLife & U.S. Chamber of Commerce Small Business Index is 68.4 this quarter, down from last quarter (72.0) and similar to Q4 2024 (69.1).Most measures this quarter do not show a significant decline, however, there is a slight softening across some key measures, including comfort with cash flow and future hiring/investment expectations.

Notably, fewer small businesses report being very comfortable with their current cash flow this quarter. Additionally, views of their local economy have declined slightly, with two in five (43%) small businesses saying that their local economy is in good health. At the same time, views of the national economy are stable: 38% say the same of the U.S. economy, similar to last quarter. Longer term, outlooks for both the national and local economies are more optimistic compared to this time last year.
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This quarter, inflation continues to be the biggest challenge facing small business owners, but these inflation concerns have remained stable for the past two quarters. However, more small businesses are reporting increased challenges for both revenue and employee retention. Slightly more small businesses cite employee retention (17%) as a challenge this quarter (was 12% in Q4 2024). In the same vein, compared to this time last year, concerns about attracting talent have more than doubled. This quarter, 14% said attracting talent was a top challenge (up from 6% in Q4 2024).

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Wayne County Area Chamber of Commerce.  All Rights Reserved.
 33 South 7th Street, Suite 2 | Richmond, Indiana 47374​
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